Open Ballot: what is the biggest threat to the future of Linux?
Posted at 5:08pm on Tuesday April 27th 2010
For our next podcast, we'd like to know what you think is the biggest threat to the future of Linux. We'll discuss the results, along with our own ideas, in our next episode, available on Thursday. Please leave some sort of name alongside your thoughts so that we don't end up reading out 20 comments from Anonymous Penguin!
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Your comments
Foaming at the mouth FOSS folks
Dan Williams (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 5:37pm
I'm a big proponent of open source software, obviously, but there is a distinct crowd out there that, for lack of a better term, begins to foam at the mouth at the sight or mention of proprietary software. They willingly sacrifice desktop functionality that potential Linux users would expect to be present (media codecs, for example) in favor of free, but less complete, alternatives.
Free Software Fanaticism
Anonymous Penguin (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 5:40pm
While Linux is based on free software, and it will always play a big part in its future, we cannot allow people who say we mustn't use Flash or VMWare to become too vocal. The future of Linux depends on attracting new users (especially end-users) and people who treat proprietary software as a bug will only succeed in driving some end users away.
Division
Mel (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 5:40pm
I think the biggest threat is the division of the community. Not only Linux's community but the FOSS community.
Example: Richard Stallman vs Miguel de Icaza on the Mono Issue.
I ate it when the people that "love" freedom want to impose their ideas onto others.
The idiots that say Microsoft is not one of the biggest threats.
HandyGandy (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 5:42pm
The second biggest threat of all being Microsoft itself.
Since the Altair, MS has held a significant piece of the desktop/microcomputer marker. Once they hit 90% it never fell
below 90% ever. That's close to twenty years and not only the entire lifetime of the microcomputer, but past the transition from microcomputer to desktop.
Gate and Balmer still have a controlling share. That means that they get final say on everything Microsoft does, and those people in MS who say let's give FOSS a chance are out on their ass the minute Gates and Balmer decided to play hardball.
But the thing to remember is that the people that fared the worst against MS were the people dealing with MS. Logitech was entering into a deal with MS which gave MS access to their trade secrets, just before they started their own keyboard division. Excel and Word were first created for Mac in an Apple/Microsoft deal. OS/2 was created ina joint MS/IBM deal before Windows and NT. I think that is enough to get the basic idea. It's the "embrace" part of "embrace,extend,extinquish".
So the biggest threat to linux are the idiots who insist that the linux community should prostrate itself in front of the MS juggernaut ( and I suggest that you look up the history of juggernaut ) to let it roll over them.
PS
In the Cold War days the Politburo used to call these people useful idiots.
I have been using Linux for
Bob (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 5:54pm
I have been using Linux for years and am a huge advocate to everyone that will (and won't) listen. I find that the biggest threat to Linux is non-techie fear. There is a perception that Linux is difficult and that one cannot run the software that they want if they switch to Linux. So, people will not even try running Linux. I also think that a lot of non-techie people do not trust Open Source because they do not understand the concept. Microsoft and Mac spend millions of dollars to ensure that non-techies conform to their wishes.
End-users are not programmers.
Renato (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 6:08pm
The biggest threat to linux future is the fanatism of some community members. They just don´t realize that end users don´t care for what they think about free and proprietary licences. End users just want to use computers to make their lives easier. End user are not programmers and don´t want to be programmers and don´t want to write a single line of code.
I would agree
bananaoomarang (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 6:39pm
I would agree with most comments. We need to keep splits out and yet each other use and linux in general. Right now we don't have any good open graphics drivers. More distros NEED to include proprietary software for an OUT OF THE BOX experience. People who want a free desktop CAN HAVE A FREE DESKTOP. The kernel will always be free (as in open) and software will continue to develop. We need to have a universal file format for all major distros .deb .rpm or some tarball format I don't care just something more universal or have every distro be able to use rpms and debs as well as their format. The end user wants to click on a file and for it to install OR use an 'app store' type thing but we also need a standerd here not 50 guis for package managers on every distro. We need to put more money into advertiseing the free and open aspects and saying 'There is an alternative to windows or OSX. it's like politics, we have labour (ms) conservitive (MAC) and lib dems (linux) THERE IS AN ALTERNATIVE. The biggest threat is that we fail to do these things which results in (to the end user) a computer that doesn't work well. When the user goes to youtube he/she expects to be able to play videos not INSTALL FLASH. CANNOT FIND RIGHT PLUGIN. *google flash ubuntu/whatever distro* Do this, this and this. That's just stupid.
General Ignorance
Cage - April 27, 2010 @ 6:41pm
The biggest threat to linux (or Gnu/Linux for the purists) has to be General Ignorance. Now, when I say that I'm not calling people stupid. Many people who could otherwise be end linux users, are just not informed enough to understand. As mentioned before they hear stories of this elite OS for geeks and whispers of some "open source" movement "whatever that is".
Take my boss for example; "Linux is crap, some stupid software written by a kid in his bedroom." Even having seen it he wont relent, and when he discovered it couldn't play DVD's or MP3's by default he laughed as if his point was proved. "Open Source, crap, nothing that's any good is free!".
This is the type of mentality we're up against. We need polished distro's like the Lynx for sure, but more than that we need at least one distro where all that "Evil" non free stuff works out of the box, to help ease in possible converts and start them on their journey of discovery of the open source world, without tossing them in at the deep end to see if they don't drown.
Tiredness
haakin - April 27, 2010 @ 6:44pm
Hi!
I've been using Linux since 2002 or so. For many years Linux was my main operating system. I had to work hard to work with Linux in an environment full of Windows machines and MS Office files. In the beginning, t was hard but I had the will to do it. I was using OpenOffice.org 1 (which was less than perfect) and I had to edit the fstab file each time I wanted to use a USB stick (pen drive). Later everything was easier and easier.
But after 7 years dealing (happily I have to say) with Linux, I got tired. I got tired of fighting against the world. In december of 2009 I bought a Mac for the job. I use a lot of Free Software but I don't use Linux as OS in my main machine. I continue using Linux at home in my netbook and recently I renewed my LXF subscription for two more years. So, nothing is lost.
Javier
Locked down devices
Muzer_cbatli (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 6:56pm
I wonder how long it'll be until every device available is locked to its original OS? M$ have recently jumped on the bandwagon with WinMo 7 (or whatever they're calling it now), and Apple have been doing it for years obviously - and the latter is starting to make forays into slightly more computer-like locked-down devices like the iPad. Ugh.
About my challenge.
HandyGandy (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 7:01pm
I am sorry, I may not have made one thign clear. My challenge is not a response to the question. What it is a challenge like many of the others you have been doing, suggested to me by the discussion of your open ballot.
Hardware manufacturers apathy
Conor Murphy (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 7:17pm
If hardware manufacturers pre-installed Linux on the machines we can find in Harvey Norman or PC World everyone would know Linux. Especially if you explained between the OS and Microsoft Office And Antivirus you're saving 200 euro.
This would help us all by meaning the drivers and programs would all be written for Linux and the momentum all would keep building to eventual world domination.
When peaople really start writing malware for linux
Shimi - April 27, 2010 @ 7:41pm
It will be a mess to start having anti-spyware virus etc.
you might say you are immune with "sudo" but the root password is needed for so many basic stuff that most users(me included) don't ever think twice before entering it.
I think Fedora made it unnecessary to use root privileges for common stuff like installing software from the official repository, but ubuntu rules the market and it requires a password for every little thing so a users ends up entering his password seamlessly.
The dumbing down of the World
Jayson (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 7:43pm
The greatest threat to the future of Linux is a growing population of people with an aversion to thinking. It's that same growing population of people that has made Windows based OS so popular. Windows OS puts a large focus on taking the thought out of using a personal computer. As a result, people have little to no idea of what a Windows OS is doing in in the background. They know in general to click this to do that etc... At some point, if you become a moderate to heavy Linux user, you'll need to learn something about whats going on in the background. What's bash, whats CUPS, how can I do something more efficiently? Linux based systems expect the user to understand, and know, and think. Most people who become fans of Linux are people who in general are thinkers and tinkerers. Unfortunately in a world where everyone wants everything to happen NOW!, thinkers and tinkerers are not an expanding segment of the population. So... IMO the biggest threat to Linux are people with an aversion to thinking.
And on a lighter note
Shimi - April 27, 2010 @ 7:49pm
Having more linux audio systems than all the bits in the universe could hold, making spacetime implode, taking Linux with it.
other people badmouthing linux
towy71 - April 27, 2010 @ 8:24pm
My closest neighbours have both been converted to using Ubuntu but when I tried to get another friend to convert their son in law said that Linux is only for hardcore fanatics, she reverted to the horrible Vista and still has problems with wifi connectivity that Linux had cured.
My sister will not try Linux because she needs to use proprietary accounting software, which works fine under wine, because the guy she works for doesn't like that hippy nonsense.
Mass-adoption For Granted
Adam (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 8:33pm
The points everyone has mentioned all have value, but the biggest threat is Linux users thinking that eventually 'everyone' will see the light and take a step to our side.
In essence, we could be our biggest threat.
We need to stop chasing and trying to compete with the other OS's, as our ideas will eventually be tunnelled into what they are trying to achieve.
We have a greater advantage if we ignore trying to win hearts and minds and really use what open source gives us: to expand on ideas that seem crazy to others at this point in time.
Stuff not working!
Huw - April 27, 2010 @ 8:38pm
I know that in many cases it isn't Linux's fault, but stuff not working has to be it. I've been a loyal Linux devotee for years but even I'm considering switching back to Windows because I dared hope that I might use Skype to talk to my family when I'm away.
Or perhaps it's the shoddy implementation of Flash on Linux that will break me; Flash in Firefox crashes so often for me that it's almost unusable and nobody has been able to help.
Getting games to run under WINE, that's a good one too.
I used to boot into Windows just to play games, but I'm finding myself spending more and more time in Windows because everything works, and that's sad.
@Huw
HandyGandy (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 8:40pm
There are skype clients that run on linux.
@HandyGandy
Huw - April 27, 2010 @ 8:51pm
Yep. But sound and mic do not work properly on either my desktop or my netbook.
WHAT barnibus?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!??!?!?!?!?!?
bananaoomarang (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 9:00pm
windows is virus-free? what are you on? windows is virus infested. The windows disc practically COMES with viruses preinstalled to force you to buy a virus checker. IE is rigged to let viruses on your system. That was the most unconstructive and brutalaly unnecessary comment ever.
WHAT BANANAOOMARANG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
barnabus the bear (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 9:03pm
I WATCH LOADS OF PORN ON MY LAPTOP ALL THAT HAS HAPPENED IS THAT MY COMPUTER HAS GOTTEN SLOWER TO START UP AND TO DO STUFF BUT THAT IS IT!!!!!! NO VIRUSES THERE YOU IDIOT!!!!!!!!
SHEEEEESH PEOPLE WHO USE LINUX DONT KNOW A THING ABOUT COMPUTERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
WHAT BANANAOOMARANG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
barnabus the bear (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 9:03pm
I WATCH LOADS OF PORN ON MY LAPTOP ALL THAT HAS HAPPENED IS THAT MY COMPUTER HAS GOTTEN SLOWER TO START UP AND TO DO STUFF BUT THAT IS IT!!!!!! NO VIRUSES THERE YOU IDIOT!!!!!!!!
SHEEEEESH PEOPLE WHO USE LINUX DONT KNOW A THING ABOUT COMPUTERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Performance
Anonymous Penguin (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 9:03pm
Linux performance is terrible. Apart from quick boot, Linux desktop is pretty sluggish. Firefox is noticeably slower on Linux than on Windows, and I don't think it is all Mozilla's fault for not optimising it enough. I think Linux' file system layout and lack of high performing libraries is to blame.
I also think the Linux kernel community's focus on servers hurts desktop performance.
No Killer App, or Maybe Apathy... Who knows, who cares?
Mike Reid (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 9:12pm
There is no killer application that entices people to leave Windows (or whatever) and run Linux. Many people have an app (often a game or a graphics app or whatever) that keeps them coming back to Windows. Without a compelling reason to change, the argument is merely "you can do everything, well, most everything, you can do in your current familiar, comfortable OS on this NEW thing." It seems like change for the sake of change and probably won't happen.
Of course, this assumes the future of Linux is tied to an ever-increasing adoption by consumers. If Linux's future is tied less to increasing its market share among consumers (i.e., the standard business model) and more to continued efforts of geeks and hackers (i.e., the traditional Linux model) then the only threat to its future is apathy and/or burnout within the community.
The third larget threat --nonEngineers "running" Linux
HandyGandy (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 9:31pm
My first experience with engineering ( and in particular systems engineering ) was more then 35 years ago bicycling. I had bought a new tire patch kit by a company called Rema. The patches ( for those who have seen them ) are nopt square pieces of rubber, but these thin orange circular things with a black middle. Of course I had a flat, and of course I had trouble patching it. Why, the tube of vulcanizing agent had a solid tin seal over it. Next year I bought a few of the patch kits for that year and discovered puncturing the tube was not going to be a problem. They had put a plastic spear inside the cap top, just turn around the cap and push. That's engineering.
Over the years I've seen many engineering techniques, good and bad. Perhaps the biggest was at a company which made farm equipment. The couplers on their farm equipment: tillers, plows, reapers etc did not work with the couplers on their tractors. To use their equipment with their tractors, you had to buy a special adaptor and install it.
Linux has already established itself in some areas. The areas it has established itself it has done so because it is well-engineered. Although I generally don't worry about the GNU part of linux, in this case it is very relevant. It is not just the kernel that makes Linux robust, but the entire infrastructure. In fact much of the infrastructure predates even GNU and comes from UNIX or POSIX in general.
As long as it is a well engineered UNIX like system, it will be around; it will take PhD's instead of script kiddies to write serious viruses, crashes will not drag down the whole system but be localized. The one technical threat to Linux is that it ceases to be a well-engineered UNIX like system.
Some of that engineering is writing equations on whiteboards, and drawing UML diagrams, a bigger part is
more fundamental, talked about in the writings of Kernigan, Plauger, Jon Bentley, and Gerald Weinberg. A part of that "well-engineered"ness is openness.
If a person is given two choices: install Windows, or install a proprietary codec so that he can use his computer for work, then I say by all means install the codec. But that is not what I see advocates of "proprietarizing" linux say. What I see are people who argue that they should add layer after layer of proprietary software, to the point where if you want to install some software a computer company does not like, you have to "jailbreak" your computer.
It's important that engineers stay in charge of linux, because engineers understand that sometimes you can't have two things. That if you want for example a virus free system then you may have to eschew certain proprietary software, especially since it is the proprietary stuff that has the dark hidden corners where virii like to grow.
PS When I say engineer I don't mean software geniuses who are only geniuses when they copy Microsoft.
Fragmentation. Ubuntu is
DaveS (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 9:44pm
Fragmentation. Ubuntu is demonstrating how a unified marketing approach based on brand recognition succeeds. Many outsiders now think Ubuntu IS Linux. Choice is good, but it can also be confusing, and dilutes the message.
Corporate agendas
FruFru (not verified) - April 27, 2010 @ 10:47pm
The biggest threat to Linux is the increasing interest (and funding) from corporate entities with their own agendas. Commercial entities that view Linux as a competitive threat to their own interests are unlikely to be showering Linux developers with gifts that do not have strings attached.
At the least threatening end are development frameworks specified by a commercial software vendor that appear to offer an attractive cross-platform solution, but also provide that vendor with a competitive advantage when they modify, develop or otherwise dictate the framework.
In the middle are supposedly open standards that have a high representation from proprietary vendors, who adopt and then adapt supposedly standard specifications (html, various languages, open documents).
Possibly the most threatening is the influx of closed source, closed standard trendy devices into Linux audio, video and communications.
End Users whether ignorant or not
Anonymous Penguin (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 12:00am
I would have to agree with Renato. End users just want a computer to work. They're not interested in how it works, proprietary or not.
Though I am confused when everyone mentions that installing Flash after installing Linux is a problem. Hmmmm if I install Windows and it doesn't have the latest version of Flash installed, I have to install it. What's the difference?
Anyway, the biggest threat to Linux is the community. It's funny how a lot of Linux users complain that non-Linux users should learn how to use a computer properly. And then flame them when they don't understand something and ask for help. That doesn't really contribute to the growth of more Linux users.
Well, that's my two cents. My extra penny is one way to increase Linux's use is not to advertise it as Linux. I mean Mac really doesn't advertise their system as Mac the Unix system. They just call it a Mac. By the way, Mac advertises their system as being easier to use than a Windows PC. So, you can be dumber than a Windows PC user.
SOFTWARE PATENTS!
C. McConnell (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 12:21am
To me, By far the largest problem are software patents (at least here in the U.S.) ... what they will do is constrict the expansion greatly ... to me they are 'Evil'.
Simplicity of working and clarity of details
Utterly_Frustrated (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 8:38am
Unless everything works that old recurring phrase "COMPLETELY OUT OF THE BOX" there will be resistance to take up.
Others have expressed the points that lack of hardware support and specific drivers to work with Linux which are important.
Another bugbear is the detailing of documentation and often responses in forums where the level at which the documents are written or instructions given are at the level of GEEK.
Oh that someone could produce something with the clarity of an idiots guide. That would be a boon to many
Choice
johnvile - April 28, 2010 @ 8:53am
I think choice rather than being some kind of threat, is defiantly a barrier.
Also the GNU/Linux argument has to stop. Anyone looking in at this pedantry squabbling is likely to to turned off the whole idea of free (slash as in beer) software.
The word Linux, very off putting all round really.
Lack of Unity
Dylan (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 9:32am
We need to stop duplicating effort regarding packaging.
As long as Red Hat is around, sadly so will RPM. I would love to see Red Hat ditch RPM and switch to DEB packages but its not going to happen.
Also it would be much better if the people who make stupid respins of Ubuntu would actually get involved in helping Ubuntu. Therefore they would be doing something alot more constructive.
biggest threat: the misconception that Linux is "hard to use"
Jan (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 10:06am
I have a friend who wanted to buy her first computer. She went to the store, and saw the cheapest laptop was $500 and preloaded with Linux. She asked the salesperson about it, and got the reply "Linux is for advanced users/geeks - you don't want it - pay $100 more for a laptop with Windows"... and she did.
Upon not being able to configure things like wireless, flash, java on Windows (remember, she's never used her own computer before), I ended up installing Ubuntu. In the 6 months since she's started using it, I've had maybe 3-4 calls about stuff not quite working.
Linux wasn't (isn't) harder to use, and this is a message that needs to get across to end-users.
3 Things
Tobi - April 28, 2010 @ 10:44am
Although I am generally quite optimistic about Linux's future, there are some serious threats:
1. With bigger market share come more dangers. I know that Linux is inherently more secure than Windows, but it's not too difficult to write a script that deletes your home directory and get people to start it (hoping for some amazing screen saver or something). There will be more of that stuff and other "low level viruses" the more attractive Linux gets.
2. Fragmentation is a problem. Different package formats and audio subsystems are a constant source of annoyance, but I am sometimes really scared of a fork of the kernel for some stupid ideological or corporate reason.
3. You never know if there isn't one stupid patent lying around in the drawers of Ballmer or Jobs that might screw everything up for us. An expensive lawsuit, and a split in the community between the side that settles with EVIL Inc. and the side that sees such a thing as a betrayal as freedom is what gives me most nightmares about the future of Linux.
The Year of Linux on the Desktop
Cage - April 28, 2010 @ 11:04am
I must agree with Adam. We do seem to be pre-occupied with "Is this the year of Linux on the desktop". We should be doing what we've done all along, innovate. (I say we, I mean you - I can't program worth a damn , yet!)
Let Canonical continue down its path to get Linux adopters, and make revenue where it can, from what I understand it doesn't contribute a big pile to the kernel anyway, and lets have everyone else keep the innovation coming.
Except Novell who will do what Microsoft wants them to. Oops did I say that out loud. ;-)
Shoot the Zealots!
Ray Woods (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 11:07am
Very few computer users ever read the End User License Agreements. They are just not important to them, they just want to use the software. So ranting and raving about them does little good and, probably a lot of harm to the whole community. (Just concentrate upon the positives and forget the Microsoft bashing.)
Linux needs to concentrate upon its strengths of security and reliability. We also need to consider the end user who are, in the main, not geeks or techies. We need to dispel the techie nature of Linux, and make it the natural choice for the normal average user.
Mainstream Linux
Alias - April 28, 2010 @ 12:48pm
I reckon that the biggest threat to Linux is Linux itself. With over 300 distros and climbing there is a lot of choice for the new Linux user. Most people I know will go with something like Ubuntu, something that gets new Linux users into the swing of free software and packages and all the other stuff that we find second nature.
However because Ubuntu has a large popularity if at any stage it starts to move away from the idea of Linux then new Linux users will be alienated from the real idea of Linux. Don't get me wrong, I'm not hating on Ubuntu, I'm an Ubuntu user myself however I'm using 9.04 instead of the latest release because I believe that they have been sub-par compared to previous releases such as Jaunty. I have a friend who has just started using Linux and what did he pick as his first OS, yep, you guessed it, Karmic Koala an OS packed full of bugs, glitches and overall shitness.
So before we can really say that Microsoft or hardcore GPL people are going to be the biggest threat to Linux maybe we should look in our own backyard.
@Huw
EricTRA (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 1:11pm
Pay a visit to LinuxQuestions.org and state your problem there. I'm sure it'll be resolved within 24 hours. I use Skype on Slackware 13 on a daily basis and it all works. My wife uses it on Xubuntu 9.10, all functions go, my colleague on his Linux Mint 8, need I go on?
Biggest threat = MikeOS
Anonymous MikeOS fanboy (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 1:23pm
Biggest threat = MikeOS gains major traction and replaces Linux as the de facto alternative to proprietary offerings.
Wrong question
Marrea (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 3:24pm
What is the biggest threat to the future of Linux?
Strange question this. Surely there is no "threat" as such to the future of Linux. It is not going to be forced out of existence. It will simply carry on very much the same as now, appealing to a niche market - but no more than that unfortunately.
What you should really be asking is why Linux is not more popular than it is.
Games of course
Dafoosa (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 3:26pm
Excuse me while i reboot back into xp to play LFD2; which is where ill stay (XP that is) for the rest of the evening (why; cause even the slightest loss in functionality or frame-rate will always send a gamer/senior software engineer to the best game supporting OS.
shame, as I like linux for everything else, but games (and pron) are priority 1, not work (lol at least linux does pron well).
Marrea is quite right -
Billy Batts (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 5:21pm
Marrea is quite right - there is no threat. As a relative newcomer to computing in general and OS in particular, it has been the proverbial voyage of discovery getting to some kind of grips with it all.
But now I tell my friends to download Fedora or Mint, that the latter makes most things work straight off, and that after that maybe they'll go up the chain via Ubuntu to Debian and that best of all it's all free...
Linux makes MS look like some kind of expensive joke, and I say that as someone who has no axe to grind. So maybe the 'threat' is the political clout of MS (don't underestimate them) in keeping govts, local councils, schools and the NHS hooked to their licence fees and away from the free and efficient world of Linux.
That will stop the growth of OS - for in Britain, the political choice between kowtowing to a US corporation and actually using our brains and taking the hippie, co-op route is in fact no choice at all. MS wins
So we all pay, in local and national taxes for OS's failure to take its rightful place in our national infrastructure; god forbid our zombie election might offer some choice about that.
Linux users who don't care about freedom
Chris B (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 5:21pm
I just don't get the backlash against free software "fanatics." Who doesn't like freedom? Only oppressive governments. The whole point of educating people of the disadvantages of proprietary software is to give consumers the knowledge to make appropriate choices and put pressure on the suppliers. Some fanatics do deserve criticism for such childish things as harassing apple store employees, I'll give you that. But there is nothing wrong with speaking about the harmful effects of proprietary software.
It may sound stupid, but...
biggles1000 - April 28, 2010 @ 5:33pm
I think Grub is the biggest threat, as it is a real pain. If it breaks because you repartitioned your HD without Gparted, you're stuck. And that's just one of the problems. I could go on about how many times grub has been the cause of an installation being killed and inaccessible. If grub isn't changed to be like the Microsoft one, as otherwise grub will hold Linux back from general user usage.
More like Linux users who don't care about overall quality
mags (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 5:53pm
and think it's acceptable to leave (e.g.) GIMP in a supposedly user friendly distro such as Ubuntu (though since removed).
"Hey, I need to edit an image on my Ubuntu"
"Just fire up GIMP"
"Ok, now what?"
"Cry. Cry long and hard."
"Wow, free software is great"
"Yeah."
We are our own biggest threat
Frowning Fred (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 6:36pm
I agree with many previous posts and would like to add, that even though we might consider them "unwashed masses". As more novice users join our community the community will evolve and change to accommodate them. Movements like the FSF all the way down to distributions like Ubuntu were born out of these changes. As the community continues to evolve it will be interesting to see what new projects and efforts are founded to take on our many conflicting use cases.
Bring it on!
Microsoft
Rhakios - April 28, 2010 @ 7:34pm
It is, and probably will be for some time to come, Microsoft. Their creeping series of patent agreements with hardware vendors (as epitomised by today's news of the licensing agreement with HTC for their use of Android) undermines the credibility of Linux as an independently innovative platform.
Just how many agreements with how many manufacturers will it take before MS present it as a fait accompli, that Linux is dependant in all important respects on Microsoft's intellectual property?
Laziness
Tim V-B (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 9:21pm
I know, I know, that Linux is pretty easy to use. For a complete newbie, it's better than learning Windows. But people have grown up around Windows stuff so they buy what's familiar.
Also, people don't tinker these days. Kids buy a snazzy game for the Wii and just use it. They don't get bought some screwdrivers and encouraged to open up gadgets and play. If it's bust, buy a new one (the result of greater disposable income).
And I think Apple is making it worse. The iPhone, iPad model is "buy it from us, get your apps from us, don't even think about fiddling with the inner workings." People are lazy, not curious, and so go with what they know. Unfortunately, Linux ain't it.
Too many re-spins too little accounting software
tony jones (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 9:36pm
The Linux world is focused around a few distros and many hundred of respins.
Some are good like Mint, some are little more than rebranding.
The trouble starts when the source distro changes something, and that change is unpopular like the move of the buttons to the left in Ubuntu.
When will Linux get a good industry compatible accounting software package?
Yes, I know it is as boring but if you try to run a SOHO it is the one thing that stands out as missing.
Linus
A Finn from Finland (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 10:51pm
No one knows who he is. Seriously.
I agree with Tim V-B
Anonymous Penguin (not verified) - April 28, 2010 @ 10:58pm
I agree with the majority of what has been said. The problem is Microsoft operating systems appear (and have done since the 90's) on the majority of new computers brought. If you don't know how to use it, you can go to a college to learn it, so people get to know and understand proprietary software.
As mentioned earlier, people are lazy and don't want to learn a new way of computing for the sake of it. I have just completed a two year computer course and have mentioned that I have used Linux at home since 2006 and my reasons for doing so. The majority of the students hadn't heard of it, those that had, had been misinformed about it and had no reason to try open sourced software because the college was teaching the subjects using proprietary software.
Shawn
Respect
Swosho (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 1:14am
As has been covered by other posts, the question is about the threat to the future of linux, not the growth of popularity of linux. (Besides patents,) the threat to the future of linux is the disenchantment of the very people who contribute to it (e.g. Alan Cox, Con Kolivas...). Arrogance, and a factionally driven distain from the kernel team in general (a personal judgement) tends to drive the innovators away. Linux has been built on innovation, but will stagnate and smell (or become windows...) if we don't nurture our developers. Allowing some of the more 'out there' ideas to be part of the kernel (through the choice of the user, not necessarily by default... can anyone say plugins?) can lead to unforseen advantages and breakthroughs. I don't know what percentage of the kernel is directly attributable to Linus now, but it won't be much. The linux kernel is an example of collaboration at its finest... just look what we've got now! We need to ensure that we treat the contributors in a collegial instead of adversarial manner.
p.s. for the zealots, please replace all occurances of Linux above with GNU/Linux ;)
The Greatest Threat.
Penguinclaw (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 1:47am
I really don't think there is a threat to Linux. We are strong because we are not a business but a community of like minded people. More and more people are dipping their toes and trying the Linux way. I acknowledge ignorance of the general windows PC users; Windows = computer. But I have educated various friends and family members and once "sold" (it doesn't take long with a virus vulnerable, sluggish computer.... not all can afford to buy the latest hardware), they have quickly taken to the new OS like a duck to water. I now have my Mother-in-law doing regular updates; with Windows I had the responsibility of this job as she couldn't get to grips with this. She is not wealthy and she really appreciated that I was able to breath new life into her old computer. My Dad reckons it's easier than windows and was really impressed with all the free software. My children are learning to use two operating systems and ,being young, just accept it as normal. The only fly in the ointment I have found is the ignorance of IT teachers...... Come on teachers..... learn your subject and read widely.... that is one of the things I was taught.
Amendment
Penguinclaw (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 1:52am
I guess from my previous post I'm actually saying that there is a threat and that is a lack of education. This boils down to our schools and governments (as they invariably control what is taught!).
The biggest threat is the division of the community and lack...
Adam Griffiths (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 3:34am
...of enthusiasm.
The question was not "What is the biggest threat to Linux becoming a mainstream OS". Therefore competition from other major players is not a threat really, Linux has the potential to thrive in the same way it currently does and historically has as long as the community remains productive and excited about what it has achieved and what it continues to achieve.
The true threat is highlighted well by the comment above about getting exasperated and moving to Apple.
Who are we working for
Foolz (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 6:53am
It really depended on who are the develop is working for. Desktop developer might ending up focus on gaining user land. and keep making all this eyes candy, and something so call "Cool" but really do nothing. Some developer is focusing on making all those Great tools that doing the job super efficiently "Once you Learn it". It is always good to gain user land. but if the quality of the App is the cost. It would be really sad. One of the biggest things I feel about some recent app is that they are trying too hard to pleasing the their "NEW USER". which only good for a demo. but not really good for everything computing. It is like people choose Linux become the way it is, or Linux twist itself. so people will choose Linux. Not all the good tools have a big user land. and tools with big user land often makes their user salves to them.
Who know... maybe the biggest threat is becoming a battle field for all those developer who prove their way of thinking and show off what they are able to "produce". that is why next version might not be a better version, but a difference thing.
OS X Vs. Windows Vs. Linux
Iain B Simpson (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 8:07am
My OS of choice is MAC OS X, but I love your podcast and have dabbled with Linux previously. I converted from Windows XP in 2008 and have found myself having much more time to enjoy my computing experience, rather than spending half my time tinkering/fixing elements of the OS.
Linux that I have experienced doesn’t have the robust, “just works” factor.
However, it is getting much better and I will be checking out Ubuntu 10.04 on my works Lenovo machine.
We know the threats. However, with a little bit of SWOT analysis, you should be looking at the opportunites!
The biggest opportunity is unification of developers. This is already happening in a very big way with the Ubuntu distribution. Why doesn’t everyone join hands and make Ubuntu as amazing as OS X?
That would be a win for Linux.
Kind regards,
Iain.
ACTA is one big threat
Tuxedo (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 11:09am
How about the highly secretive ACTA Trade Agreement that we are denied information of. ACTA (see Wikipedia) is something we have to worry about, as it may (and will) impose restrictions on software development.
Why not? Negotiations are still secretly done, and if we do not watch out we will be confronted with an agreement that might stifle OSS and Linux, and anything more that is not in the interest of big money and the fat cats.
TuxRadar open ballot
eponymous Penguin (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 3:33pm
The real threat to Linux is all these tuxradar open ballots
OEMs and Game manufacturers
French Penguin (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 4:10pm
Only two people, so far, got it right.
Connor Murphy, who said hardware manufacturers, or more generally OEMs, are the biggest theat to the growth of GNU/Linux on the Desktop.
As long as OEMS don't offer John Doe the exact SAME choice of computer, with Windows or without Windows, on the SAME shelves, mainstream (non-techie) customers will keep buying Windows boxes, because they are everywhere.
The second biggest threat, as Dafoosa put it, are Game manufacturers, because lets face it, almost everybody who buys a computer for a pesonal (non-professional) use is going to use it to play a game or two, at some point.
So as long as Game manufactureres are not willing to develop the exact SAME games on both platforms, people will prefer to be on the safe side and buy a Windows Box that will run any game they'll pick over the counter, without having to worry about compatibility issues.
The next question is : How to address these issues ?
Short answer : find a way for GNU/Linux to reach a critical mass.
How can we achieve that ? I don't have the slightest clue, nor does Steve Jobs for the Mac, apparently ...
Vicious circle
Marrea (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 5:02pm
<<As long as OEMS don't offer John Doe the exact SAME choice of computer, with Windows or without Windows, on the SAME shelves, mainstream (non-techie) customers will keep buying Windows boxes, because they are everywhere.>>
But surely it is a vicious circle? The OEMs don't offer this because it is not what customers want. Everyone of my acquaintance, friends and relatives, wants a laptop with the latest Windows on. There is no point stocking shelves with products which are not going to sell. Look what happened to netbooks. It wasn't long before they changed from Linux to Windows. From what I read, people were returning the Linux versions because they didn't understand it/couldn't get on with it.
As I said above, surely the question we should be asking ourselves is why Linux is not more popular. Why does is continue to completely fail to catch on with the general public?
Commercial Interests
zygmunt (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 7:36pm
Whilst commercial interests in software/firmware/hardware remain and the "legal" patent situation continues to prohibit experimentation at less than reasonable cost. Linux and FOSS are virtually considered to be "terrorist" activities to be stamped on at every opportunity. There is no playing ball with M$ or Apple. Their policies and actions are well known. They are carnivorous beasts that will nurture before the meal is big enough to eat, then devour their feast with relish. You cannot stop the thought process or the programming, but all that is required is to secure relevant resources. This happens on nearly every front today, keeping Linux and FOSS at its meagre penetration. This cold war continues at an ever increasing complexity and intensity. What will be the turn of events that provides the currently hidden switches? Fascinating to watch the next moves in this multi-dimensional game of "chess". FOSS needs its own hardware.
My half cent.
Anonymous Penguin (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 10:44pm
1. Bilski getting confirmed and allowing software patents to be legal. Hopefully if software patents are found not to be legal, acta is moot per se.
2. A certain set of podcast show hosts (not from tux radar) who say there is no problem with Microsoft contributing to linux.
3. Microsoft themselves who ahve already started to contribute to ubuntu. under the noses of the community.Then they will come back later and say their code is in linux so they can hold the community hostage. like they allegedly did htc.
4. Not having pristine clean software source code repos replicated in case the worst happens. I amassing all the source code and open source development tools I can, I needed to get the debian repo and source soon.
5. Not getting people involved in the development of projects whether they program or not. they can contribute to the documentation and testing of existing code.
6. Kick ubuntu in the rear to start writing better code that also follows the linux tradition.
The Terminal
MSP (not verified) - April 29, 2010 @ 10:53pm
While there are still tasks which cannot be performed without using Terminal commands and ordinary users' questions routinely receive responses in Terminalese, the future is not assured.
To put it another way - Lazy developers who refuse to provide GUI set-up and configuration facilities will limit the future of Linux.
It isn't a question of which is better, GUI or Terminal, it's a question of what most people want to use.
Balkanization of the Kernel and lack of interest/opportunity
Anonymous Penguin (not verified) - April 30, 2010 @ 7:44pm
for the next generation of developers, I would say are the greatest threats.
We will see some big patent fights if linux-based panel computers/e-book readers take off in the consumer market and become a real challenge to the iPod and the like from the big proprietary companies.
It is unlikely this will happen, though.
Hardware support
Patrick Rooney (not verified) - April 30, 2010 @ 9:02pm
I doubt it's the biggest threat, but hardware support is an important factor. While Linux has a much wider range of supported devices than it used to, it's those that don't work by default (or at all) which are hard to deal with. For instance, I haven't been able to run hardware drivers for Windows in Wine, and instead I had to resort to VirtualBox (which for all intents and purposes is the same as rebooting to Windows). Most non-technical users wouldn't even think to do that, never mind muster the effort to set it up properly.
My mum (who is very much a non-techie) liked Ubuntu 9.10, except for the fact that it didn't support her printer out of the box. I had trouble finding a working driver for it, and in any case it was rubbish (you had to adjust the margins in OpenOffice so that it wouldn't print too high up the page, and changing the print quality settings had no effect, so it was always wasteful of ink).
While I'm here, I have to agree with the poster who said of Firefox: "INSTALL FLASH. CANNOT FIND RIGHT PLUGIN". That's another annoyance that could bewilder end-users and should be removed quickly.
Time destroys everything
Tommy (not verified) - April 30, 2010 @ 11:58pm
Assuming we get past 2012, perhaps a trillion years from now there will be no universe and no linux. I don't think there is anything we can do to stop that.
But if heaven is eternal, and if computers exist there, and if I have one, it just might be running linux forever.
Bogus Lawsuits
Ben Dibell (not verified) - May 1, 2010 @ 4:40am
I can hear you thinking, "well if they are bogus, why are they a threat?" The reason they are a very big threat is that many companies are just poking FOSS projects around with lawsuits, hoping to win one of them. Eventually they will win at something important if they are not stopped. If these guys had their ways, free software would be illegal, which is why I think software patents should be outlawed.
@biggles1000
Ben Dibell (not verified) - May 1, 2010 @ 4:45am
Biggles1000: GRUB is not the only functional bootloader. I personally use EXTLINUX. I love the full color backgrounds, and I find it easier to configure. Give it a shot sometime.
Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get me
John in Kabul (not verified) - May 1, 2010 @ 9:27am
There is no threat to Linux, only paranoia. Focus upon the choice and opportunities. Yes it is infuriating in this blogoshere of "everyone is entitled to my opinion", but it is our strength.
The biggest threat is our own limiting paranoia (even if they are out to get us).
To be honest I don't care if it's called 'Linux',...
Alisdair Laird (not verified) - May 1, 2010 @ 6:14pm
...'Minix', 'Haiku', or 'MyCobbledTogetherOS', as long as its 'free' as in freedom (not beer). I don't care if Linux ever pushes MS off the shelf as everybody's favourite OS, in fact I'd rather it didn't.
What matters to me is that there is always something going on that means the money boys (and girls), don't ever think they own the show; don't ever get to force everyone to pay and pay and pay for the same half-baked crap with no way out that doesn't threaten fines and imprisonment.
There will always be people who just go with the crowd, because its easy---you don't have to think, and that's okay, up to a point. But there should always be a counter-culture going on that reminds people, and gives them the option, that things can be done differently and even better; that I can sit down if I choose to and do what I want with someone elses's work and set my efforts free for other people to do with what they want...
Linux matters for what it represents and gives. It matters as a matter of principle and what it offers to us for its own sake---freedom.
What you do with that freedom is up to you.
One word...
Flash858 (not verified) - May 2, 2010 @ 1:29am
Purple.
My vision of the greatest threat to Linux...
artisan002 (not verified) - May 2, 2010 @ 2:23am
#1. Scavenging/cannibalization of Linux for the benefit of the proprietary... I've lost track of how many supposedly closed apps and recent operating systems owe their existences to the open source work of the Linux community. And the development has not managed to benefit Linux in any substantial way. This threatens to bog down Linux while letting other developers eventually leapfrog their benefactors. Eventually, this could lead to Linux being marginalized by it's own benevolence.
#2. Over-diversification... Linux in all it's breeds has been lovely to watch. But, with it being re-purposed to so many duties, it's hard for the outsider to keep up with what's appropriate for him/her. While this helps Linux proliferate, it doesn't really help it THRIVE. Jack of all trades, master of only some. If there were something about Linux that would threaten itself, it would have to be this multiple personality aspect it takes on.
#3. Incomplete standardization... Certainly, the lack of support from the commercial computer entertainment community has hurt Linux, though not fatally. But, the broad mix of code that makes up varying distros and window managers makes it difficult to work with, and makes it not worth the effort. Case in point: moving critical files because one distro vendor has a differing philosophy to do with one particular detail. Writing for Linux already requires a different mentality than Mac or Windows. But, this kind of diversity sacrifices standardization, which necessitates greatly increased programming or very selective support. Accordingly, an already small market share either becomes more work than the payoff or an even smaller market share.
#4. Perpetual work in progress... Is there a common Linux calculator app out there that can subtract by percentages (as in type in the number you're subracting, hit the percent sign and go)? No. But, Windows worked that out a long time ago. Now, I am well aware that Linux development is a labour of love. However, most apps lack certain fine details of completion. And when bringing it up, the answer always amounts to "we're working on it." But, even in the free software/GNU world, there are some things that ought to be finished by now. So, what this seems to really amount to is waning interest. Some programmer or team started on something, it's mostly done and they lack the staying power to simply finish it. Now, this is to be somewhat expected, when dealing with a free operating system. But, it's not what most people are willing to tolerate. Accordingly, most people won't go for Linux. And, free or not, it's certainly not what people need. They need full functionality, period.
Lack of Standardization
MalSell (not verified) - May 2, 2010 @ 7:04am
1) no standard repository for all recent stable releases. i.e. Mandriva may have KDE 4.3.5, KDE.org has released version 4.4.1 and it cannot be upgraded until Mandriva re-brands or re-configures it to their own liking.(Yes, I know this can be done manually, but your basic end user doesn't care to learn coding, building, etc. They want the latest updates and want them as soon as they are available.)
2) files not being located in the same place in every distro.
3) lack of a standard package/installer. .deb, .rpm, installing from source.
3) A standard configuration program. For me this is one place where OpenSuSE and Mandriva based distros have a clear advantage over the other distros. Unlike Debian, Ubuntu, Fedora, etc. they have a single place to change all of the system settings no matter what desktop you want to use. You don't have to delve through menus and 15 different programs to change 3 or 4 minor settings.
From my own personal experiences, I've not had any issues with flash in Linux for the past 3 or 4 years. I've had more issues with Firefox than flash itself.
No Threat -- Only Obstacles for Growth
Arick McNiel (not verified) - May 2, 2010 @ 3:25pm
Bottom line: There is not threat to the existance of Linux. It will always have a following. Therefore, the only legitimate threat would be the community becoming stale and users moving AWAY from linux.
The issue of many of the comments here is that they have confused obstacles with threat. Consequently, most of the comments I read were dealing with limiting factors in growth.
On the topic of growth, many good comments have been made. With little thought and choosing what is on the top of my head, I view the following as significant obstacles:
a. No Marketer. Linux needs an organization ot market it and get it on the radar. To make business cases for the adoption of linux.
b. Like it or not, we need a single distro as the flag ship of Linux. Yes, there will always be distros. Red Hat lost that opportunity. Ubuntu is now best positioned for that. Regardless, the ONE standard needs to be what is pushed for all desktop, commercial computers. It needs a standard LOOK AND FEEL. The Masses of Sheep don't like "different", as they feel they don't understand it.
c. Linux needs to get on the shelf in the computer stores and show what it can do! It needs to be a CHOICE at PURCHASE time. While technically, it should be cheaper (and is when considering upgrades), we have seen where M$ will give its product away practically to extinguish the competition.... A protracted "price war" might not win over a LONG period of time, but the fact is it isn't a "long war" for the consumer. They purchase WHAT they know. Unless you make the imediate purchase choice happen in Linux favor, you've lost the battle already.
Well, enough. Perhaps I'll write an essay some day... then again... perhaps I won't. :)
Bottom Line: I am a Linux user, I evangelize Linux, and I will not go back to Windows. I'd love to see it take off and have a considerable market share, but it won't happen with any real speed given current conditions.
Regards
Computers are a tool
WTM (not verified) - May 3, 2010 @ 4:49am
The problem with linux is that as it currently stands, it is for the most part a "enthusiast" platform. One that requires tinkering and configuring to maximise performance.
Linux is to operating systems, what muscle cars/classics/hot rods/etc are to cars....
In other words the average person just wants a Corrolla/Golf/Astra that they can get into and drive to point b from point a. They have no inclination to hop under hood to tweak the motor, adjust the ignition/timing/etc.
80+% of computer users see their box as a tool, like they see their car as a tool (as many of you no doubt do as well). They are not interested in the command line, freedom, open source, etc... They aren't now, and probably never will...
We have to acknowledge this, and create a system that any user can just use, even if they don't have a friend/relative that is one of us linux lovers.
PS and games... < the main reason I still windows machines.
Who cares!
Notmiown (not verified) - May 3, 2010 @ 8:14am
If Linux is destroyed I'll switch to BSD.
Computers are tools
Notmiown (not verified) - May 3, 2010 @ 8:28am
WTM, you could not be more wrong. I have only been using computers for 4 years. 2 of those 4 years I've been using Ubuntu and Mint. Linux is an intuitive, common sense, easy to use, powerful, full featured OS right out of the box. You don't need to use the terminal if you don't want to and you don't have to worry about viruses. If you can point me to an OS that comes with a full featured office suite, image management software, and is virus free I'll switch to that no matter how expensive it is.
games
Anonymous Penguin (not verified) - May 4, 2010 @ 2:40pm
games games games games games games games, what make millions of people use windows instead linux? games and some unique apps.
walled gardens
Alison Chaiken (not verified) - May 5, 2010 @ 6:06am
Well-managed "walled gardens" are as attractive as they are deadly. If a lot of the Community switches over to corporate-sponsored WG, the spirit of "free software" will be lost even if technically the spirit lives on. Death by degrees, due to friends, is always more dangerous than Death by {Microsoft,Apple,Sony}.
destryoing of jobs
Anonymous uR Penguin (not verified) - May 5, 2010 @ 11:27am
there is a bit of truth in it when somebody says open source destroys jobs..so if i do not buy mikroschrottz office fe and use open source only the poor people at mikroschrottz don t get money..so the people that are working there are gonna be fired because of decreasing sells.
a logic thing so...but if they weren t that greed in the past people would say hey i give you 20 euros to have a nice office suite that fits my need..but at those prices the commercial bitches are just too ugly and so the money not worth..the industry killed himself and now they say a penguin is the murder..
"Destruction of jobs" - nah...
Aragones (not verified) - May 5, 2010 @ 9:39pm
@ Anonymous uR Penguin:
Just a comment on your post:
Agreed.
"Mikroschrottz" (!) is a company that "defends" (ha!) competition, free market, capitalism, innovation, freedom (???), blah-blah-blah. So, *supposedly*, they should play by those rules - and one of these rules is that the better ones survive, the worse ones go the way of the dodo.
Well, if OpenSomething, from the community, is better than ClosedSomething, from Mikroschottz, let Mikroschottz die by the rules they defend. The community didn't "destroy their workers' jobs" - it just gave people a better product (overall).
If any "murder" happens in this whole story, the murderers are the Mikroschottzes and their ilk, with their lawyers and software patents and unethical behaviour and anti-competitive tactics and... The list goes on and on and on...
(I feel that my comment is a bit late and off-topic, but at least I managed not to make it too long. Sorry.)
apple.
Anonymous Penguin (not verified) - May 6, 2010 @ 8:58pm
iSteve iJobs and his iCrap iPatents TM.
Software Patents
Sean Parsons (not verified) - May 8, 2010 @ 8:51pm
Software patents are the biggest threat to all software (both free/open source and proprietary). The US patent system has made a huge mess where it is impossible to do development without infringing on someone else's patent(s). While copyright on software is fine, I honestly don't think it should be patentable.
Non-support from OEMs
James7 - May 9, 2010 @ 1:13am
When an OEM gets behind Linux, we have PCs that do their magic and work, just as an OEM version of Windows would work.
We need more OEMs to step up and be counted. They are the ones who keep Windows 'just working out of the box', and they should be the ones to make Linux do the same.
This is the only way Linux will get rid of its reputation (undeserved) among those out there who know something but not everything about this great OS!
Software Patents and Zealots in the Community
Steve (not verified) - May 11, 2010 @ 3:24am
Personally I think the single greatest threat to all software right now is the patent system as implemented by the US. The theory of supporting inventors, I support, but the implementation of the system awards inventor rights to the highest bidder who are then able to use such rights as a big stick to hobble development. I feel that such a system needs to looked at and dealt with to prevent abuse.
With regards to Linux itself the biggest threat that I see is zealots in the community. Personally I find such behaviour off putting and have dropped a certain distro when I ran afoul of a particularly bad zealot. More and more of these types of people are popping up within the Linux community and it is my belief that they do more harm than good.
Money and all the trouble that walks through the door with it.
Jake Roberts (not verified) - May 16, 2010 @ 1:24pm
The title pretty well sums it up. Look at the tight rope Canonical is walking. They need to make money and please the user base and are having a hard time doing both. Suppose Canonical alienates half of its 12 million reported users but gains a few paying customers. It's a win for Canonical but a loss for loyal users. I think this situation is highlighted by Mark Shuttleworth's departure. Maybe he doesn't want to alienate his base so he steps aside and hires somebody who doesn't mind running it like a business. From my point of view the power of Linux has always been the ability to present better solutions. Playing "money games" like licensing codecs validates M$ and Apple's arguments against FOSS. Look at what SCO, or Novell or even Apple has become because of money. If people would just focus on doing what they believe in the work will reflect it and the money will follow.
Others [STILL] Don't Take Us Seriously
Saint DanBert (not verified) - May 23, 2010 @ 7:12pm
Did anyone notice how quickly this simply poll degenerated into a flame war and name calling? When one looks at linux discussions online, these are the rule not the exception in my experience. (Maybe I need to read different places.) When "the board room" sees that, how can it take any part of the discussion seriously? The existence of our disagreements is a strength not a weakness. "We think differently? Get over it and do something else." Not only is it okay, F[L]OSS philosophy encourages it.
I'm concerned that deep pockets will initiate court cases that drain our meager coffers and divert our attention. F[L]OSS is enjoying success (measured as market penetration and market share) and others want to monetize our success through means other than research and development ... means like litigation not innovation or investment.
~~~ 0;-Dan
my 2 cents
EriktheUnready (not verified) - May 24, 2010 @ 7:04pm
Background: I used to work for an OEM mfg as technical mngr.
1. M$ - give cutbacks (backahands whatever)
2. There is upsell potential with windows (antivirus etc)
3. Sales get commision on selling windows, office etc (why would they offer anything free?)
4. You get told about M$ 's wonderful support - (which is not free for OEM customers - they get referred to the OEM for support btw...)
Also walk into any department store & ask the salesperson.... what do you get? "Linux doesn't work with everything, it is rubbish"
or
"there are other operating systems?"
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